https://doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-020-00674-4
Regular Article
A note on Corona-virus (Covid-19) Infection in Italy
1
Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN), 64, via S.Sofia, 95123, Catania, Italy
2
National Laboratories of Sud (INFN-LNS), 62, via S.Sofia, 95123, Catania, Italy
3
Dipartimento di Matematica e Informatica Università di Catania, 64, via S.Sofia, 95123, Catania, Italy
4
Radiation and Robotic s.r.l., 25, Via Chianello, 95024, Acireale, Italy
Received:
7
July
2020
Accepted:
6
August
2020
Published online:
18
August
2020
A statistical analysis of the corona-virus (Covid-19) infective process has been performed by a cooperative action during the period February-June 2020. A good analysis has been obtained by using an entropic model typical of phenomena where statistical entropy-negaentropy balance is expected to play a major role. A saturation value of the infected humans was observed, and the number of people potentially (asymptomatic) involved in the process was determined with an accuracy of 15% in the Italian case, as relevant example. The saturation value represents about 16% of the total (symptomatic + asymptomatic) involved population in the process. The stability of the observed saturation level with the time shows that the governmental lockdown prescriptions, guided by scientists (virologists) have been effective to contain the diffusion of the virus and the associated human mortality.
© Società Italiana di Fisica and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020
